"This trend will likely continue if the labor market remains strong," Bunker said. The Post flagged additional factors driving the trend: Latino women being encouraged to work outside the home, a need for two incomes to pay the bills, and men being deported and women needing to enter the workforce to support their families. "As a result, prime-age Americans of color, in particular women, are a growing share of the prime-age overall and nonemployed populations."Ĭollege attainment is also rising for everyone and especially for Americans of color, and that increases their chances of getting jobs, said Tedeschi, who offered the Post guidance on how to analyze the labor market data. "A lot of what’s going on here is population growth: prime-age America is much less white than it used to be," Tedeschi said. Tedeschi uses the term "job finders" to refer to people who transition from nonemployment one month to having a job the next month. "The president's paraphrase of the findings is incorrect as it includes non-Hispanic white women," Bunker said.Įrnie Tedeschi, a managing director and policy economist at Evercore ISI, also told us that the majority of prime-age job finders over the last 24 months have been people of color. That’s not the same as saying that minorities and women represent most of the new hires, as Trump said. Overall, the Post found that based on data collected since the 1970s, most new hires of prime working age (25 to 54) were people of color, and women within that segment were pushing the trend. labor market and whom the Post consulted about its data analysis. ![]() Specifically, the Post downloaded an extract from IPUMS (a project of the University of Minnesota) that "allows researchers to create more detailed analysis than the number released every month in the well-known jobs report," said Nick Bunker, an economist at the Indeed Hiring Lab who focuses on the U.S. ![]() The Post’s analysis used detailed microdata from the Current Population Survey and other related statistics, said economists who guided the Post on how to analyze the labor market data. The Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics told PolitiFact that it did not have data that identified "new hires" by age, race, Hispanic ethnicity, or sex.īut it is theoretically possible, as the Post did, to analyze different sets of data to construct something that could be defined as a "new hire," the bureau said. ![]() The newspaper said its findings were based on data the Department of Labor began collecting in the 1970s. For the first time, most new hires of prime working age (25 to 54) are people of color." The Post noted that "minority hires overtook white hires" in 2018 and that women were "predominantly driving this trend." 9 Washington Post article said that a "surge of minority women getting jobs has helped push the U.S. An economist told us that the president’s statement and the wording in the Post article are significantly different.Ī Sept. The Post found that for the first time, most new hires of prime working age are people of color, and that within that segment, women are predominantly driving the trend. However, Trump imprecisely recounted the Post’s analysis. Trump’s re-election campaign told PolitiFact that Trump relied on reporting by the Washington Post. Is Trump right that minorities and women for the first time account for most new hires of prime working age? Trump promoted low unemployment numbers for minorities and said that "for the first time in history, most new hires of prime working age are minorities and women." ![]() It would create a free trade area stretching from Japan to Chile, and it was seen as an effort to create a counterweight to China, which is not a party to the agreement.President Donald Trump during a forum with India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi said economic indicators painted a good picture for minority workers. because of congressional opposition but was strongly backed by the Obama administration. The TPP, as it's known, is a trade agreement with 12 Pacific Rim nations. As NPR has reported, the policy "blocked federal funding for international family planning charities unless they agreed not to 'promote' abortion by, among other actions, providing patients with information about the procedure or referrals to providers who perform it." The other action reinstates the so-called Mexico City policy, a rule that began in 1984, when Ronald Reagan was president. One imposes a hiring freeze on federal workers, except for military positions and in the case of national security. Trump also signed two other presidential memorandums (a pool report, and the original version of this story, referred to these actions as "executive orders"). Politics Trump Promises Tax Cuts, Less Red Tape - So Long As Businesses Stay In U.S.
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